VIDEO: Ruská družica sa priblížila k satelitu, ktorý poskytuje údaje Ukrajine a Západu

19.10.2026 09:30

Ruská družica Kosmos 2612 sa v noci na nedeľu priblížila na vzdialenosť iba približne 578 metrov k satelitu ICEYE-X36 vyrobenému vo Fínsku, ktorý zrejme poskytuje dáta Ukrajine a západným krajinám. Oba objekty sa v tom čase nachádzali vo výške okolo 547 kilometrov nad Južnou Amerikou. Vyplýva to z výpočtov pozorovacej platformy Orbital Radar, na ktoré upozornil nemecký denník Bild.

Holandský odborník na satelity Marco Langbroek zaznamenal viacero manévrov ruskej družice z 30. septembra a z 12., 15. a 16. októbra. Podľa jeho analýzy Kosmos 2612 opakovane upravoval svoju dráhu tak, aby sa priblížil k satelitu ICEYE-X36.

Najnovší manéver zachytáva záznam zverejnený na platforme X švajčiarskou technologickou spoločnosťou s2a systems, ktorá sa špecializuje na monitorovanie vesmírneho priestoru a sledovanie objektov na obežnej dráhe Zeme.

Short time-lapse of part of this morning’s first pass of ICEYE-X36 (59103) and COSMOS 2612 (68762) over South America under partly cloudy skies. https://t.co/t8RhwmKcV4

— s2a systems (@s2a_systems) October 18, 2026

BIG: A Russian military satellite, Kosmos 2612, has been maneuvering to within 136 meters of the U.S.-registered ICEYE-X36 radar imaging satellite, according to satellite trackers, with a closer pass of about 48 meters predicted for Monday. Dutch satellite tracker Marco Langbroek said a series of maneuvers since September 30 were designed to match the satellite’s orbit with ICEYE-X36’s. Astronomer Jonathan McDowell called it the first known case of an active satellite making an uninvited close approach to another active satellite in low Earth orbit. ICEYE, a Finnish company, has supplied radar imagery to Ukraine since 2022, though it is unclear whether this satellite serves Ukraine. There are no signs of damage so far, and Russia’s intentions remain unclear. https://t.co/fiSogLV6bu

— Clash Report (@clashreport) October 18, 2026

Russian Kosmos 2612 and ICEYE-X36 (providing Ukraine military support) are now in perfect sync with each other. The Russian military satellite is intentionally stalking and tracking the Western radar satellite. Keeping a satellite "bumper-to-bumper" in this manner allows Russia to intercept or jam data transmissions, physically inspect Western technology, or quickly pivot to execute a kinetic or non-kinetic anti-satellite (ASAT) attack with very little warning or fuel expenditure. Kosmos 2612 executed a series of highly precise, fuel-heavy maneuvers to force itself into a "coplanar" orbit—matching ICEYE-X36's exact altitude (~555 km), speed, and inclination (~97.8°). The ICEYE-X36 satellite is giving the Ukraine military support.

— The Hitchhiker's Guide to Self-Preservation (@TheFATEof2021) October 18, 2026

???? ???????? ???????? Specialists tracking this in real time now have harder numbers than "a close pass." Orbital Radar's latest computation puts the closest approach at roughly 26 meters, with earlier passes logged at 136 meters and 578 meters as Kosmos 2612 tightened its formation over multiple orbits, each pass occurring at essentially zero relative velocity, meaning the Russian satellite wasn't drifting past ICEYE-X36, it was flying in matched formation with it. The deliberateness is no longer a matter of interpretation. Kosmos 2612 launched as part of a six-satellite cluster, Cosmos 2609 through 2614, and it is the only one of the six that has maneuvered at all. LeoLabs, the commercial tracking firm, said in a statement the movement "appears to be a deliberate approach toward" the US-owned satellite. CSIS researchers documented a two-week maneuver sequence beginning September 30 that brought Kosmos 2612 into coplanar alignment and matched altitude with ICEYE-X36, exactly the kind of orbital mechanics work that doesn't happen by accident. Dutch tracker Marco Langbroek, whose data anchors most of this reporting, called it bluntly: "an RPO without consent," rendezvous and proximity operations conducted without the target satellite's cooperation or clearance. What makes the target non-arbitrary is who relies on it. ICEYE-X36 is a Finnish-built, US-registered radar imaging satellite, and Poland's own military has flagged direct alarm because its forces use ICEYE intelligence to identify targets inside Russia. A Ukrainian official told Axios the military works with ICEYE's capabilities, though it's unconfirmed whether this specific satellite supports Ukrainian operations directly. Either way, the pattern read by trackers across multiple countries is the same: a Russian military asset spent three weeks deliberately burning fuel and adjusting its orbital plane, altitude and eccentricity to shadow, at zero relative velocity and within tens of meters, exactly the kind of Western-linked space asset Russia would want to understand, disable, or demonstrate it can reach. No tracker has found evidence Kosmos 2612 carries a destructive payload or that it struck ICEYE-X36. What's established instead is a precedent: Russia has now shown the technical willingness and capability to maneuver a military satellite into near-contact proximity with a commercial asset tied to Ukrainian and Polish defense intelligence, holding formation close enough that the only remaining open questions are what Moscow intended and whether the target satellite still functions exactly as it did before.

— The Tectonic (@thetect0nic) October 18, 2026

Americký expert na obranu a inžinier Michael Bohnert z think tanku RAND označil tento manéver za demonštráciu sily, nie za bežné sledovanie iného satelitu. Na sociálnej sieti X upozornil, že Kosmos 2612 by mohol družicu ICEYE-X36 hocikedy zasiahnuť.

Centrum pre strategické a medzinárodné štúdie (CSIS) v tejto súvislosti pripomenulo, že ruskí predstavitelia opakovane vyhlásili, že komerčné satelity využívané na podporu Ukrajiny by mohli byť považované za legitímne vojenské ciele.

Americké Vesmírne sily, je jedna zo šiestich zložiek Ozbrojených síl USA, už v júli uviedli, že ruské družice typu Kosmos sa pohybovali v blízkosti západného komerčného radarového satelitu, ktorý Ukrajina využíva na prieskum.

Prípadná zrážka dvoch družíc pohybujúcich sa rýchlosťou okolo 27 000 km/h by mohla mať vážne následky. Podľa Bohnerta by mohla vyvolať takzvaný Kesslerov efekt, pri ktorom úlomky vzniknuté pri kolízii poškodzujú ďalšie objekty na obežnej dráhe a vytvárajú ďalší vesmírny odpad. Takáto reťazová reakcia by mohla na dlhý čas zneprístupniť niektoré obežné dráhy.

CSIS preto vyzvalo Spojené štáty a európske krajiny, aby sa urýchlene rozhodli, ako budú reagovať na prípadný „nepriateľský čin vo vesmíre“. Podľa centra by zároveň mali Rusku jasne komunikovať možné dôsledky takéhoto konania.

Podľa amerického spravodajského webu Axios odvolávajúceho sa na západných analytikov účelom manévrov ruského satelitu by mohlo byť rušenie výstupov ICEYE-X36 alebo dokonca príprava nejakej formy útoku. Hoci zatiaľ neexistujú dôkazy o tom, že by niečo také Rusko zamýšľalo, incident ukázal potenciálnu zraniteľnosť komerčnej vesmírnej infraštruktúry, či už priamo podporuje vojenské operácie alebo nie, uviedol Axios.



Zdroj: spravy.stvr.sk / InfoVojna